Wednesday, September 2, 2009

Thursday, August 27, 2009

Update on todays betting

So. Very very sad. Brøndby is out of the European League. They came ahead 0-1 and I was about to get nervous about over 1.5 goals. But then very late, Berlin scored to 1-1 and that apparently cracked Brøndby as it just took Berlin 15 minutes to go from 0-1 to 3-1. Brøndby is out.
And our draw coupon is gone. But difficult bet and low bet on it. Our over 1.5 goal coupon is very alive and 3 matches to go.
On the last coupon Ajax is currently 1-1 against Bratislava and it does not look like another goal in that match. Think we can say that coupon is also gone.
But. We have our 1.5, and most important, coupon alive.
Oh. And Sparta Prague is up 1-0 after just 3 minutes. One more goal in that match.

Update just two minutes later. Ajax is now infront 1-2. Second match currently underway is Elfsborg - Lazio and it is 0-0 and Elfsborg is the dominant team.

Update: 20:43
Seems like all is lost again tonight. Sparta Prague might have gone infront 1-0 after 3 minutes, but apparently they have decided, that 1 goal was enough. Hamburg is winning 3-0 and Hearts is infront 1-0.
But nevermind as Prague didnt do it.

A total of 4 days straight loosing.
Profit has fallen to 214.31 Units.

Todays accum

Two accums:

Ajax to win
Lazio to win
Athletic Bilbao to win
Steaua Bucuresti to win
Dinamo Zagreb to win
Odds: 36.33, putting 3 on it.

Brøndby to draw
Odense to draw
Vaslui to draw
odds: 46.80, putting 3 on it.

And have a good evening. Results will be updated, when they come in.

27-08-2009 Thursday betting

After a days break we will try and turn the loosing streak, into a winning streak.

The safe bet today consists of 4 matches which has to end with more than 1.5 goals.
Low odds, but good chance that they all will.
Hearts - Dinamo Zagreb
Sparta Prague - NK Maribor
Hertha Berlin - Brøndby
Hamburg - Guingamp

First match between Hearts and Zagreb ended in a 4-0 win for Zagreb. A clear sign of strength. Hearts was not without chances, but the team is faling apart. 2 matches played in their Scottish league and both lost on a 2-0 and 2-1. The 2-1 was against Rangers, so proof that they do know how to score against good teams. Zagreb is last 5 matches has ended with 15 goals. Their last match was a 0-0 against NK Zadar, but the three matches before that, counts 14 goals in total. Excellent. And this is away and at home. The danger is that Zagreb won 4-0 at home so some would believe they would rest a little. I do not believe that. Hearts will do what ever they can, but as mentioned, they are faling apart. I see two way this match can be run. Either Hearts will control play and press, then Zagreb will score on counter attacks. Or Zagreb will dominate Hearts completely and the match will end 3-0 or 4-0.
Second match is Sparta Prague against NK Maribor. The first match ended 0-2 in Pragues favor so they have a good solid result now in the return leg. Maribor is not a bad team and they will clearly press on in this match trying to get the two goals. It might possible happen but not without Prague scoring some aswell. Prague knows how it is done. Their last game was against a top team in Czech and they won 1-0 at home. That is a good result. Maribor on the other hand, lost their last match 1-2 at home against a poor team. This could indicate that they are saving strength for this match as 2-0 is far from impossible to get. And I believe they will go for it. I see a possible win for Maribor or atleast a draw. 1-2 or 1-1.
In our next match we have Hertha Berlin up against Brøndby. First match ended 2-1 for Brøndby which was an excellent result. Hertha Berlin only need 1 goal in order to advance, but it will take a lot of pressure on Brøndby to do so as Brøndby is in very good form. Their last match was against Køge, a low low low ranked team in the premier league in DK, but Brøndby won 6-1. Boost of Morale and confidence. Berlin lost their last match to Bochum 1-0 so not on sparkling with confidence. Again, I believe this was because of saving players for this match. 1 goal is not that difficult to get and if they get it, they will have away goal advantage. But I think that Brøndby will actually survive on the counter goals, that Berlins pressure will bring. I even see a possible win for Brøndby. At least a draw. 1-1 or 1-2.
Last match is against a team who knows how to produce the goals. Hamburg beat Guingamp 5-1 at home and last match played was against Wolfsburg which they won 4-2 on away field. That is 12 goals in the last 2 matches!!! And it continues. Guingamps last match was against Vannes, remember in the second division in France, and they won 4-1!!! 11 goals in the last 2 matches.
This game screams of goals. But I cannot see anything but a big victory for Hamburg, who has shown that they do an excellent job away. Result could easily be 2-4 or 2-5.

Those four matches gives us an odds of 2.18 and I am betting 10 on it.
Lets hope this turns into a win, to stop the loosing streak.
I will post an accum in a moment.

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Loosing run continues

Again today, there was no win.
QPR did the job but Wolves played 0-0. How that is possible, I honestly do not know.
Sheffield Wednesday lost 2-0 to Port Vale. So no winnings on the risky accum either.

I will take a break a couple of days to get back in form, as this is far from group. Look back on Thursday as we should have some good bets on the European League.

Tuesday update

So. Some mixed halftime results.

Burnley is unfortunately behind. This should teach them, not to replace a complete team for cup matches. QPR and Wolves have not yet scored. Wolves was for 2-3 seconds behind by one goal, but it was disallowed. Sheffield Wednesday have received a red card so it is 11 against 10. Luckily it is still 0-0 there.
Middlesbrough, Blackburn and Bolton is infront by one goal. Lets see what happens during second half.

25-08-2009 Tuesday betting

Carling cup matches today. Staying completely away from Scandinavia :)
The safe bet today consists of two matches.

QPR to win
Wolves to win

QPR is a solid Championship team. They dont really go down and not up. If they do, they go back the following season. They loose to the top teams and win against lower ranked teams. Their start of this season has not been the best. 3 draws and one lost. Goal score of 3-4. At home they have played two draws and goalscore of 2-2. In all fairness they have been up against some good teams. Bristol City, Nottingham Forrest and Plymouth. A loss and 2 draws. Thats decent. Their first round in the Carling cup was against Exeter whom they beat 0-5 on away. In all fairness I do not consider Exeter to be a good team, but they are currently 10th in League 1. Today they are facing Accrington Stanley. They are 21st in League 2. They have won 1 match and lost 3. Goalscore of 2-7. Away is 2 lost and goalscore of 1-4. Accrington have also played some good teams in League 2, but they lost against them. Their win came against Lincoln at home and it was a 1-0 win. Now the only thing to watch out for is that they actually advanced from round 1 by beating Walsall 2-1 at home. That is pretty amazing. Walsall being a decent team, but the last couple of seasons for Walsall have not been to good. Currently they are 16th in League 1.
But today we have a match of a solid Championship team who gets the job done against lower ranked position whom are up against a lower ranked team by 2 leagues. There should not be to many suprises in this match. A solid win of 3-0 possibly even 4-0.
The second match is Wolverhampton against Swindon. Wolves have done somewhat ok in Premier League after their promotion. They only lost 1-0 to Man City, they beat Wigan on away terms but also lost to Westham at home. They have not scored alot of goals, but then again it is the top teams they are playing. While their strikers were great in Championship league, they face a lot higher quality in Premier league. They enter the Carling cup in this round so no previous round to go from. Swindon plays in Leauge 1 and currently holds the 12th place with 1 win, 2 draws and 1 lost. Their outfield record says 1 drawn and 1 lost. Goalscore of 2-7. Swindon started the season with a heavy loss to Gillingham by 0-5 away. After that they beat Milton Keynes Dons in the Carling Cup by 1-4 on away field. That is an excellent record as MKD is an ok team. Then they draw at home just 4 days later with them. They beat Southampton by 1-0 at home, but hey. Everybody beats Southampton at home. And the latest match, they drew with Oldham on away terms 2-2. Some good results for a team I would have expected to be found close the relegation spot. Today they are up against Premier League and yes. We do see surprises once in a while, but this match is not the match. Wolves will win it and judging from the amount of goals Swindon has let in, I expect similar result as previous match.

So. Two defintly better teams, against two lower ranked teams who defintly see the Cup as their strong side. But the confidence has to be with QPR and Wolves.

Odds is 1.93 and I am betting 10 on it.

Then I have a 5 team accum:
Middelsbrough to win
Burnley to win
Blackburn to win
Bolton to win
Sheffield Wednesday to win

All 5 away matches, which could be the danger here. Middlesbrough is the only team playing a same league team, but their is a difference in strength. Odds is around 23. Putting 3 on it.