Thursday, August 27, 2009

27-08-2009 Thursday betting

After a days break we will try and turn the loosing streak, into a winning streak.

The safe bet today consists of 4 matches which has to end with more than 1.5 goals.
Low odds, but good chance that they all will.
Hearts - Dinamo Zagreb
Sparta Prague - NK Maribor
Hertha Berlin - Brøndby
Hamburg - Guingamp

First match between Hearts and Zagreb ended in a 4-0 win for Zagreb. A clear sign of strength. Hearts was not without chances, but the team is faling apart. 2 matches played in their Scottish league and both lost on a 2-0 and 2-1. The 2-1 was against Rangers, so proof that they do know how to score against good teams. Zagreb is last 5 matches has ended with 15 goals. Their last match was a 0-0 against NK Zadar, but the three matches before that, counts 14 goals in total. Excellent. And this is away and at home. The danger is that Zagreb won 4-0 at home so some would believe they would rest a little. I do not believe that. Hearts will do what ever they can, but as mentioned, they are faling apart. I see two way this match can be run. Either Hearts will control play and press, then Zagreb will score on counter attacks. Or Zagreb will dominate Hearts completely and the match will end 3-0 or 4-0.
Second match is Sparta Prague against NK Maribor. The first match ended 0-2 in Pragues favor so they have a good solid result now in the return leg. Maribor is not a bad team and they will clearly press on in this match trying to get the two goals. It might possible happen but not without Prague scoring some aswell. Prague knows how it is done. Their last game was against a top team in Czech and they won 1-0 at home. That is a good result. Maribor on the other hand, lost their last match 1-2 at home against a poor team. This could indicate that they are saving strength for this match as 2-0 is far from impossible to get. And I believe they will go for it. I see a possible win for Maribor or atleast a draw. 1-2 or 1-1.
In our next match we have Hertha Berlin up against Brøndby. First match ended 2-1 for Brøndby which was an excellent result. Hertha Berlin only need 1 goal in order to advance, but it will take a lot of pressure on Brøndby to do so as Brøndby is in very good form. Their last match was against Køge, a low low low ranked team in the premier league in DK, but Brøndby won 6-1. Boost of Morale and confidence. Berlin lost their last match to Bochum 1-0 so not on sparkling with confidence. Again, I believe this was because of saving players for this match. 1 goal is not that difficult to get and if they get it, they will have away goal advantage. But I think that Brøndby will actually survive on the counter goals, that Berlins pressure will bring. I even see a possible win for Brøndby. At least a draw. 1-1 or 1-2.
Last match is against a team who knows how to produce the goals. Hamburg beat Guingamp 5-1 at home and last match played was against Wolfsburg which they won 4-2 on away field. That is 12 goals in the last 2 matches!!! And it continues. Guingamps last match was against Vannes, remember in the second division in France, and they won 4-1!!! 11 goals in the last 2 matches.
This game screams of goals. But I cannot see anything but a big victory for Hamburg, who has shown that they do an excellent job away. Result could easily be 2-4 or 2-5.

Those four matches gives us an odds of 2.18 and I am betting 10 on it.
Lets hope this turns into a win, to stop the loosing streak.
I will post an accum in a moment.

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