Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Difficult Tuesday

So. Carling Cup matches tonight.
As you probably have read all around, a lot of the regular starting players for the championship league players are drawn into national teams and will be away for their teams. This makes it quite difficult to find safe bets.
I think I have found two.

Sheffield United vs. Port Vale
Preston vs. Morecambe

I am going to suggest two bets on these matches. One with Sheffield United and Preston as winners and a bet of more than 2.5 goals in both matches.
The winners bet will pay odds 1.97 on Paddypower and over 2.5 goals pays 2.98.
Which bet do I feel more confident about? The over 2.5 goals. Because I know the teams can score.
Port vale started out with a 1-1 draw at home against Rochdale. Not the best start you want on a league. In the last season Port Vale scored about 1 goal pr. match and conceded 1.4 goals pr. match. But then again. We will be looking at Sheffield United to produce the goals. Their first match in the league was not convincing. 0-0 away at Middlesbrough. A very decent result, but where was the goals. Last season they ended up with 1.4 goal scored pr. match and 0.8 scored against them. Not an awesome statistic to go with on this one, but the selling point is that they are playing at home and they are playing a league 2 team. There is a clear quality difference. Carling cup can produce a few surprises and if Port Vale gets infront, then the goals will really start to pile up. Despite the not so great league story, they have played two games against each other in the last 6 years, one with 4 goals and one with 5 goals. I predict a minimum of 3 goals for this match.

Preston has somewhat the same league story as Sheffield. 1.4 goal scored pr. match and 1.2 against them. Their first match this season started out with a 2-2 home against Bristol City comming back from two behind. Looking for Morecambe we also have to head down to League 2 where their first game also ended 2-2 against Hereford. So. Two teams that can produce goals.
Against each other they have two matches within the last 3 years. Both matches ended with 3 goals. Today, I honestly think we will see a goal orgy. 4 goals atleast.

So today I am going for these bets:
Double:
Preston to win
Sheffield Utd to win
Odds: 1.97
Bet: €10

Over 2.5 goals:
Preston - Morecambe
Sheffield United - Port Vale
Odds: 2.98
Bet: €10

I find an interesting treble for you aswell. This is for now.

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